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Neo-Nazi political parties are likely to go backwards in Germanys upcoming elections as internal strife and growing tribalism in the far-right scene leaves their support in tatters, the domestic intelligence agency said on Friday.
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The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitutions BfV Brandenburg and Saxony Anhalt branches believe the neo-Nazi National Democratic Party NPD and the German Peoples Union DVU have squandered support they built up at previous elections.
Under the electoral pact, the parties had agreed not to run candidates against one another.
At the Potsdam launch of a campaign against right-wing extremism, Winfriede Schreiber, head of the Brandenburg branch, said the dissolution of the Germany pact between the parties had clearly weakened the far-right camp.
Volker Limburg, head of the Saxony-Anhalt office, said right-wing extremists in his state had failed to build the cross-state networks necessary to fight in Septembers federal and state elections. Its dissolution means the parties are likely to split the far-right vote.
The NPD has been relying on using loosely organised neo-nazi gangs to build local support, he said.
The trend within the scene is moving towards more isolated and regional right-wing extremist groups, he said.
The NPD now holds seats in the state parliaments of Saxony and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania but the DVU holds none.
The prediction follows fears of rising neo-Nazi violence, with recent figures showing a 30 percent rise last year in far-right crime.
The far-right scene has had only limited success recruiting new members, the BfV said. Neither party has won the necessary 5 percent federally to gain a seat in the Bundestag, the lower house of parliament.
The number of autonomous far-right supporters dwindled from 270 to 240. In Saxony-Anhalt, the number of party members sank in the past year from 350 to 280.
The NPD and, in particular, its youth wing, the Junge Nationaldemokraten are increasingly dominated by neo-nazis, Limburg said. In Brandenburg, however, the NPD managed to attract 50 new members to grow to 300.
Furthermore, the Organisation of Neo-Nazis in Comradeship, which represented autonomous nationalists, seems largely to have broken up. Senior party officials move freely between the party structure and the neo-nazi scene. Cross-state cooperation was rare if it happened at all.
In its place, loosely connected organisations have cropped up, mostly on the internet, Schreiber said. They often use concerts as meeting points, he added.
Currently there are 25 far-right groups in Brandenburg and 16 in Saxony-Anhalt.